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San Francisco · 3 grocers · Contested

the cupcakes aisle

San Francisco's cupcakes aisle is a competitive shelf with clear leaders: 17 products from 8 brands across 3 grocers. just desserts owns the most shelf — 29% of SKUs, ahead of rubicon. Store brands hold 24%. The shelf leans nut-free — 35% of SKUs carry that claim. Verdict: contested — real competition, no single winner (opportunity 57/100).

17
products
8
brands
$7.72
avg price
$4.49–$13.91
typical range

More in Cakes

Who owns the shelf

brands by share of the cupcakes shelf.

just desserts
29% of shelf5 SKUs
rrubicon
29% of shelf5 SKUs
bi-rite marketPL
12% of shelf2 SKUs
aabe's
6% of shelf1 SKU
nnut free bakery
6% of shelf1 SKU
gussPL
6% of shelf1 SKU
ggive & go
6% of shelf1 SKU
gus'sPL
6% of shelf1 SKU

How it's positioned

the claims products on this shelf lead with — share of SKUs carrying each.

Nut-Free
35%
Peanut-Free
24%
Heart Health
18%
Plant-Based
12%
Vegan
12%
Vegetarian
12%

Brand positioning

every brand by share of shelf × price. bubble size = the brand's total reach across all aisles; color = positioning stance. top-right owns the premium end; bottom-right owns the mainstream.

scale
premium leadersmainstream leadersniche premiumvalue playersshare of shelfavg $/oz
Color:no dominant segmentation on this shelf
Size:total brand reach (SKUs across all aisles)
Shape:nationalstore brand
price normalized per oz (sizes vary)1 omitted (no oz size)

All stores combined. Tap a store to see who wins its shelf.

Market structure

36
med
Brand competition
how many brands compete
69
high
Variety of offers
how differentiated the shelf is
20
low
Top-brand grip
how much a few brands dominate
57
med
Launch whitespace
room for a new brand

store-brand share: 24% · scores 0–100.

More aisles

how we measure.prices & assortment are collected from public storefronts of San Franciscogrocers, deduped to distinct products, and normalized to a per-unit price from each product's parsed size. market-structure scores come from brand shares. figures update as we re-measure. full methodology →